balance: audit and tune quest failure rates on long-duration quests #172

New Issue

2026-03-31T14:15:13-07:00

hikari commented

2026-03-31 14:15:13 -07:00

Summary

Long-duration quests (5–7 hours) may have failure rates as high as 30–40% based on prior analysis. If accurate, this is a significantly painful player experience — a 7-hour quest that fails returns nothing after a full day of waiting.

What Needs Investigation

Confirm the exact failure rate formula in the quest resolution service
Check whether failure rates scale with quest duration and/or combat power surplus
Determine if the failure rate is intended as a risk/reward mechanic or an oversight

Affected Quests (Long Duration Examples)

Quest	Duration	CP Required
Storm Citadel	5h	1,500,000
Frozen Throne	7h	3,000,000
Shadow Marshes zone quests	45m–90m	2M–20M+

Suggested Fix

If failure rates are not intentionally scaling with duration, cap failure probability at a reasonable ceiling (e.g. 15% maximum regardless of quest length). Alternatively, ensure that meeting the combat power requirement guarantees a much higher baseline success rate — the CP gate should be the primary difficulty check, not a dice roll on top of it.

✨ This issue was created with help from Hikari~ 🌸

## Summary Long-duration quests (5–7 hours) may have failure rates as high as 30–40% based on prior analysis. If accurate, this is a significantly painful player experience — a 7-hour quest that fails returns nothing after a full day of waiting. ## What Needs Investigation - Confirm the exact failure rate formula in the quest resolution service - Check whether failure rates scale with quest duration and/or combat power surplus - Determine if the failure rate is intended as a risk/reward mechanic or an oversight ## Affected Quests (Long Duration Examples) | Quest | Duration | CP Required | |---|---|---| | Storm Citadel | 5h | 1,500,000 | | Frozen Throne | 7h | 3,000,000 | | Shadow Marshes zone quests | 45m–90m | 2M–20M+ | ## Suggested Fix If failure rates are not intentionally scaling with duration, cap failure probability at a reasonable ceiling (e.g. 15% maximum regardless of quest length). Alternatively, ensure that meeting the combat power requirement guarantees a much higher baseline success rate — the CP gate should be the primary difficulty check, not a dice roll on top of it. ✨ This issue was created with help from Hikari~ 🌸

hikari referenced this issue from a commit

2026-03-31 14:41:15 -07:00

balance: reduce quest and exploration durations (#172)

hikari referenced this issue from a commit

2026-04-06 18:55:10 -07:00

balance: cap quest failure rates at 15% (closes #172)

hikari referenced a pull request that will close this issue

2026-04-06 18:55:38 -07:00

balance: comprehensive balance pass (closes #165, #166, #167, #170, #172, #173, #215) #239

naomi closed this issue

2026-04-06 18:58:05 -07:00

naomi referenced this issue from a commit